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The future of Housing

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

Home prices at the national level have held close to their peaks despite a sharp rise in mortgage rates. The reason is supply. A seller who bought in 2021 at a three percent rate has nowhere affordable to go if they list today, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Here is what that creates for someone with solid credit and a real pre-approval in hand: more room to negotiate than the market’s reputation suggests. The panic buyers are gone. The buyers who showed up with emotion instead of analysis have mostly sat back down. What remains is a more functional market, even if it is not a cheap one.

Before you look at a single listing, get your pre-approval locked down. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. In this market, a seller who receives an offer without that documentation will not take it seriously.

The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. A low appraisal means the buyer has to make up the gap in cash, renegotiate, or cancel. Ask your agent how common appraisal gaps have been in your target price range and neighborhood.

Negotiation works best when it is quiet and well-prepared. Before you make an offer, find out how long the listing has been active. A listing that has been sitting for six weeks with no price adjustment is a fundamentally different negotiation than a fresh listing in a neighborhood where homes sell in under a week.

Real estate is illiquid. Buying and selling inside two years is almost always a money-losing proposition once you account for the full cost of both transactions. None of that means do not buy. It means be honest about your time horizon before you commit.

Buyers who take the time to research properly tend to find that the market is more navigable than the headlines suggest. Spending twenty minutes with current homes for sale and market analytics is a better use of your time than waiting for conditions that may never arrive.